Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026 — 76% YES

This market, currently pricing a 76% chance, indicates a strong favorite for Donald Trump to announce a lifting of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. The significant 12-point jump in the last 24 hours suggests a real shift in collective conviction, not mere noise, backed by solid trading volume exceeding $3.6 million. While the resolution date is not provided, the market's strong lean and recent movement imply a growing expectation among participants that this specific announcement will occur.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$3.6M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source