Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026 — 0% YES
The market currently prices Eric Swalwell's chances of winning the 2026 California gubernatorial election at 0%, indicating he is considered a deep longshot with implied odds of approximately 99-to-1 against. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in collective conviction. With over $1.3 million traded overall, but only $7,072 in the last day, the current 0% price is well-established but could still see movement given the five-month timeline until resolution. For a "Yes" resolution, Eric Swalwell must be declared the winner of the 2026 California gubernatorial election by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $1.3M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $6.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
