Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election — 3% YES
Fernando Haddad is currently a deep longshot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with the market pricing his chances at just 3%—implying roughly 31.8-to-1 odds against him. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, indicating no recent shift in conviction despite the heavy overall participation of over $5.6 million traded. With the market resolving in approximately four months, there's still considerable time for the price to fluctuate, though for YES to pay out, Haddad must definitively win the election, including any potential second round, by October 4, 2026.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $6.3M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $24.4K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
More in Politics
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
