Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
28%chance of Yes
-2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026 at 28%
On Polymarket, "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?" is trading at 28% YES with $60,321 in volume. It's moved -2% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $60.3K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $4.0K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Aug 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 28%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 28%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Technology
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
