Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election — 4% YES
At 4%, the market views Jon Ossoff winning the 2028 US Presidential Election as a deep longshot, implying roughly 22.8-to-1 odds against him. This price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in collective conviction. Despite the low probability, solid overall participation with over $4.6 million traded indicates a confident price, though the relatively modest $29,760 in recent volume means it could still be susceptible to larger trades. With roughly 29 months until resolution, there is ample time for this longshot price to evolve, as the market will resolve to the candidate declared the winner by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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