Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
3%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?" is trading at 3% YES with $22,274 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $22.3K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $92
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 23, 2025
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Politics
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
