Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election — 3% YES
At 3%, the market views Josh Shapiro as a deep longshot for the 2028 US Presidential Election, implying roughly 32.9-to-1 odds against his victory. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, indicating no recent shift in conviction despite the substantial overall trading volume of over $6.6 million, which suggests a confident consensus around this low probability. With nearly 2.5 years until resolution, there is ample time for this price to evolve, but currently, the crowd sees a Shapiro win as highly improbable, requiring all three specified news sources to declare him the victor by January 20, 2029.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $6.7M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.4K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
