Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
31%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election at 31%
On Polymarket, "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?" is trading at 31% YES with $1.7M in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.7M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $11.3K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Apr 30, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 31%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 31%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Politics
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
