Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
16%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 16%
On Polymarket, "Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?" is trading at 16% YES with $5,180 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $5.2K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 16%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 16%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
