Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026 — 0% YES
At 0%, the market views Michael Younger's chances of winning the 2026 California Governor election as a deep longshot, implying roughly 99-to-1 odds against. The price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in this conviction despite solid overall participation of over $1.4 million. With resolution still five months away, there is ample time for this price to change, but currently, the market sees a Younger victory as highly improbable based on the specified resolution rule requiring a win in the November 2026 election, as confirmed by AP, Fox News, and NBC.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $1.4M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $13.6K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
More in Politics
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
