Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election at 1%
On Polymarket, "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" is trading at 1% YES with $9.2M in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $9.2M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $36.8K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 1%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 1% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
