Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
98%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton at 98%
On Polymarket, "Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?" is trading at 98% YES with $16,362 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $16.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $95
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 98%, which makes it a near-lock in the crowd's view at about 98%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
