Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election — 17% YES
At 17%, the market currently treats Renan Santos as a significant longshot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with implied odds of roughly 4.8-to-1 against his victory. This price, having remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, reflects a stable collective judgment rather than a recent shift in conviction. The substantial trading volume of over $6.7 million indicates a high degree of confidence in this underdog pricing, suggesting the market has firmly settled on these odds. With no resolution date provided, there's ample time for future developments to potentially alter this outlook, but for now, the crowd sees a low probability of a Santos presidency.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $8.4M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $111K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
