Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
33%chance of Yes
+4%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027 — 33% YES
At 33%, the crowd currently treats Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaving a potential Trump administration before 2027 as a longshot, implying a collective judgment that this outcome is roughly 2.1-to-1 against. The 4-point rise over the last 24 hours is a notable shift, suggesting some recent movement in conviction, though the thin participation of only $252 traded in that period indicates this price is tentative and could swing significantly on modest new flow. With roughly seven months until resolution, there's ample time for this price to move as events unfold, and for "Yes" to pay out, it simply requires an announcement of his departure or cessation of membership from the administration by December 31, 2026.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $70.3K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $252
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
