Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026 — 8% YES
At 8%, the market views Steve Hilton winning the California Governor Election in 2026 as a significant longshot, with implied odds of roughly 12-to-1 against. This price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no recent shift in collective conviction despite the solid participation of over $2 million traded. The substantial volume indicates that this low probability is a well-established market judgment, not merely a reflection of thin liquidity.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $2.5M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $4.8K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
