Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $699,665 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $700K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $873
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
