Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15 at 97%
On Polymarket, "Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?" is trading at 97% YES with $123,348 in volume.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify. This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
Right now YES is trading at 97%, which makes it a near-lock in the crowd's view at about 97%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Aug 15, 2026. The odds tend to converge toward 0% or 100% as that date approaches and the outcome becomes clear.
Per Polymarket's rules: The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:…
About $123K has been traded on it (public on-chain volume). Heavier volume generally means a more confident, harder-to-move price.
No. WyldMarkets is an information and research tool. The odds show what a crowd of traders currently believes — they are not a recommendation, and nothing here is financial advice.