Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election — 1% YES
At 1%, the market views Thomas Massie winning the 2028 US Presidential Election as a deep longshot, with implied odds of roughly 73.1-to-1 against. This price is holding steady, with the essentially flat 24-hour movement suggesting no significant shift in collective conviction. With over $6.6 million traded historically and $145,000 in the last day, this low probability is a confident assessment from a highly liquid market. Given the resolution rule that Massie must be declared the winner by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, and with 29 months until resolution, there is still ample time for this longshot status to evolve.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $6.7M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $717
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
