Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
4%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026 at 4%
On Polymarket, "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 4% YES with $523,970 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $524K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $14
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 4%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 4% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
