Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
8%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026 at 8%
On Polymarket, "Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?" is trading at 8% YES with $654 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $654
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 8%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 8% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
