Biggest Movers

Markets with the largest probability shifts in the last 24 hours.

73

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

MarketsPolymarket$580K Vol.
49%+9%
74

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

MarketsPolymarket$504K Vol.
8%-9%
75

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

MarketsPolymarket$332K Vol.
12%+8%
76

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

FinancePolymarket$827K Vol.
46%-8%
77

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

MarketsPolymarket$641K Vol.
68%+8%
78

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

FinancePolymarket$392K Vol.
52%+8%
79

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

MarketsPolymarket$328K Vol.
48%-8%
80

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

CryptoPolymarket$311K Vol.
48%-8%
81

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

MarketsPolymarket$265K Vol.
79%-8%
82

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

MarketsPolymarket$254K Vol.
48%+8%
83

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

MarketsPolymarket$5.8M Vol.
3%-8%
84

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

CryptoPolymarket$1.7M Vol.
11%+8%
85

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

MarketsPolymarket$3.2M Vol.
95%+8%
86

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

MarketsPolymarket$371K Vol.
39%+8%
87

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Why: At 71%, the market treats a Bitcoin dip to $55,000 as a strong favorite, implying roughly 2.4-to-1 odds in its favor. The recent 7-point drop over 24 hours suggests a notable shift in conviction against this outcome, rather than mere market noise. With over $3.7 million traded, there's solid liquidity backing this price, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment. Without a resolution date, the market has an open-ended timeline for this event to occur.

CryptoPolymarket$3.7M Vol.
71%-7%
88

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Why: The market currently gives Bitcoin a 75% chance of dipping to $55,000, treating this as a strong favorite with implied odds of roughly 2.9-to-1 in favor. This conviction, backed by over $3.7 million in trading volume, suggests a robust collective judgment, despite a notable 7-point drop in the last 24 hours. While the specific resolution date isn't provided, the "by December 31, 2026" timeframe indicates a long-term outlook, leaving ample room for price fluctuations before a final outcome.

CryptoPolymarket$3.7M Vol.
75%-7%
89

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

CryptoPolymarket$1.7M Vol.
66%+7%
90

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

MarketsPolymarket$1.1M Vol.
28%+7%
91

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

MarketsPolymarket$264K Vol.
60%-7%
92

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Why: The market currently prices a Bitcoin dip to $55,000 as a strong favorite at 71%, implying roughly 2.4-to-1 odds that this event will occur. While this indicates a collective judgment that such a dip is quite likely, the 7-point drop over the past 24 hours suggests a notable, though not necessarily definitive, shift in conviction against this outcome. With over $3.7 million traded, the price reflects solid participation, lending confidence to its current level, even as the lack of a resolution date leaves a long horizon for potential movement.

CryptoPolymarket$3.7M Vol.
71%-7%
93

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

MarketsPolymarket$1.1M Vol.
22%-7%
94

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

MarketsPolymarket$393K Vol.
71%-7%
95

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

FinancePolymarket$278K Vol.
56%+7%
96

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Why: At 78%, the market strongly favors Bitcoin dipping to $55,000, treating it as a significant probability rather than a longshot, with implied odds of roughly 3.5-to-1 in its favor. The recent 7-point surge in the past 24 hours suggests a notable shift in collective conviction, indicating more than just market noise. With over $3.7 million traded, there's solid liquidity behind this price, suggesting a reasonably confident and well-supported collective judgment. The absence of a resolution date means this market has a long time horizon, allowing for substantial future price movement.

CryptoPolymarket$4.0M Vol.
80%+6%

“Why” summaries are AI-generated from market data and news — they may be inaccurate or out of date. Not financial advice.