Biggest Movers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Why: At 17%, the crowd views a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 2026 as a distinct longshot, with implied odds of roughly 4.8-to-1 against it occurring. The significant 13-point jump in the last 24 hours, despite the overall low probability, suggests a notable, albeit still minority, shift in conviction, rather than mere noise. With over $1.3 million traded, this price reflects solid market confidence, indicating a well-informed collective judgment on this long-term geopolitical prospect.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Why: This market, currently pricing a 76% chance, indicates a strong favorite for Donald Trump to announce a lifting of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. The significant 12-point jump in the last 24 hours suggests a real shift in collective conviction, not mere noise, backed by solid trading volume exceeding $3.6 million. While the resolution date is not provided, the market's strong lean and recent movement imply a growing expectation among participants that this specific announcement will occur.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Why: At 84%, the market treats Ethereum dipping to $1,500 as a strong favorite, implying roughly 5-to-1 odds in favor of this event. The significant 10-point drop over the past 24 hours suggests a real shift in collective conviction, rather than mere noise, despite the solid participation with over $1.2 million traded. Without a specified resolution date, the market's current pricing reflects a strong belief that this price point will be reached at some unspecified future point.

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Why: This market currently prices a 25 basis point Fed rate hike after the July 2026 meeting as a deep longshot, with implied odds of roughly 16.5-to-1 against, indicating strong collective skepticism. The price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in conviction despite solid overall participation of nearly $4 million traded. With about seven weeks until resolution, there's still ample time for the price to react to new information, but the current low probability reflects a strong consensus that a hike is very unlikely. For a 'Yes' resolution, the upper bound of the federal funds target range must increase by exactly 25 basis points following the July 2026 FOMC meeting.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?