Outsmarter

Joint-Washbasin0x1b60…a55bPolymarket

I want to be smart

Portfolio value

$34.4K

Trader style

✨ AI

Outsmarter primarily bets on geopolitics, particularly concerning Ukraine and Russia, with a strong contrarian streak, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes on a concentrated set of high-conviction positions. This trader is actively buying into these positions, mostly backing favorites, despite being underwater on their open P/L.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

26 held

Open exposure

$34.4K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

−$1.5K

−4.2% on cost

In profit

8 / 26

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2025

Now 100%$10.0K+$11 (+0%)

100%$10.0K+$11+0%NO

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 85%$6.1K−$401 (−6%)

85%$6.1K−$401−6%NO

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$2.5K+$44 (+2%)

98%$2.5K+$44+2%NO

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 97%$2.4K−$12 (−1%)

97%$2.4K−$12−1%YES

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Now 83%$2.1K+$64 (+3%)

83%$2.1K+$64+3%NO

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$2.0K+$16 (+1%)

99%$2.0K+$16+1%NO

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 84%$1.4K−$8 (−1%)

84%$1.4K−$8−1%YES

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 59%$1.3K−$33 (−3%)

59%$1.3K−$33−3%NO

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2025

Now 99%$1.0K+$9 (+1%)

99%$1.0K+$9+1%YES

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 23%$1.0K−$38 (−4%)

23%$1.0K−$38−4%NO

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$899−$1 (−0%)

99%$899−$1−0%NO

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 59%$750−$270 (−26%)

59%$750−$270−26%NO

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 95%$588+$1 (+0%)

95%$588+$1+0%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 86%$521+$21 (+4%)

86%$521+$21+4%NO

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 86%$498−$2 (−0%)

86%$498−$2−0%

Positions 1–15 of 26, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

Outsmarter just placed $10 on NO

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

viaPolymarket15h ago

WHALE MOVE

Outsmarter just placed $10 on NO

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

viaPolymarket15h ago

WHALE MOVE

Outsmarter just placed $500 on NO

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

via

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.