Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
3%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?" is trading at 3% YES with $1.3M in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.3M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.0K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
