refzer

Windy-Carp0x4b2f…1627Polymarket

Portfolio value

$81.2K

Trader style

✨ AI

Refzer is a highly concentrated, contrarian geopolitical speculator, almost exclusively betting "NO" on high-stakes Iranian and Russian political events. This trader actively chases longshots, with all recent buys being "NO" positions, despite being mostly underwater on open P/L.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

6 held

Open exposure

$81.1K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

−$51

−0.1% on cost

In profit

4 / 6

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 97%$49.5K−$502 (−1%)

97%$49.5K−$502−1%NO

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$11.5K+$55 (+0%)

99%$11.5K+$55+0%NO

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 92%$11.0K+$60 (+1%)

92%$11.0K+$60+1%NO

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Resolves Jul 24, 2026

Now 99%$5.9K+$465 (+9%)

99%$5.9K+$465+9%NO

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 92%$1.8K+$90 (+5%)

92%$1.8K+$90+5%NO

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 65%$1.4K−$219 (−14%)

65%$1.4K−$219−14%

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

refzer just placed $1 on NO

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

refzer just placed $12.0K on NO

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

refzer just placed $6.4K on NO

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

viaPolymarket

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.