Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30 — 5% YES

The market currently prices "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?" at a mere 5%, indicating it's considered a deep longshot with 19-to-1 odds against a "Yes" resolution. This 38-point drop over the past 24 hours represents a significant and confident shift in collective judgment, not mere noise, given the substantial $10.6 million in trading volume. While the specific resolution rule isn't provided, the market's strong conviction suggests a clear understanding among participants of what would constitute an agreement to end enrichment. The absence of a resolution date means the market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for continued price adjustments as events unfold.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$12.3M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source