Orchard primarily bets against economic and geopolitical events, with a secondary focus on Elon Musk and weather, heavily concentrating their book on a single, high-odds "NO" position while actively making many small, contrarian bets.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
orchard just placed $3 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 25?orchard just placed $3 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 25?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.
orchard just placed $2 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 25?orchard just placed $5 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 25?orchard just placed $3 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 25?orchard just placed $2 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 25?orchard just placed $2 on NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 25?orchard just placed $100 on NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on July 24?orchard just placed $30 on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?orchard just placed $899 on NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?orchard just placed $11 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?orchard just placed $11 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?orchard just placed $900 on NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?orchard just placed $1 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?orchard just placed $5 on NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?orchard just placed $5 on NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?orchard just placed $500 on NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?orchard just placed $1 on NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?orchard just placed $81 on NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?orchard just placed $81 on NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?orchard just placed $78 on NO
Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?orchard just placed $2 on NO
Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?orchard just placed $3 on Under
Will South Carolina and Missouri combine for 48 or more points?orchard just placed $1.4K on NO
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?orchard just placed $1.4K on NO
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?orchard just placed $15 on NO
Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?orchard just placed $15 on NO
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?