serferer

Aged-Drum0xdc70…cc56Polymarket

Portfolio value

$18.6K

Trader style

✨ AI

Serferer is a highly concentrated, contrarian bettor focused almost exclusively on geopolitical outcomes, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, consistently betting "NO" against significant shifts and resolutions. They are an active trader, frequently adding to their positions, and favor high-odds bets while maintaining a profitable book.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

26 held

Open exposure

$18.6K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$409

+2.2% on cost

In profit

16 / 26

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 57%$2.5K−$244 (−9%)

57%$2.5K−$244−9%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 88%$2.1K+$164 (+8%)

88%$2.1K+$164+8%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 76%$1.9K−$14 (−1%)

76%$1.9K−$14−1%NO

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 77%$1.6K+$110 (+7%)

77%$1.6K+$110+7%YES

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 90%$1.4K+$22 (+2%)

90%$1.4K+$22+2%NO

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Resolves Aug 20, 2026

Now 61%$1.2K+$422 (+52%)

61%$1.2K+$422+52%NO

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 61%$948−$159 (−14%)

61%$948−$159−14%NO

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 89%$819+$20 (+3%)

89%$819+$20+3%NO

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 69%$697+$29 (+4%)

69%$697+$29+4%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Now 77%$677+$69 (+11%)

77%$677+$69+11%NO

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 89%$648+$18 (+3%)

89%$648+$18+3%NO

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 71%$635−$42 (−6%)

71%$635−$42−6%NO

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 39%$592−$36 (−6%)

39%$592−$36−6%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 64%$504+$113 (+29%)

64%$504+$113+29%YES

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 69%$462+$35 (+8%)

69%$462+$35+8%

Positions 1–15 of 26, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

serferer just placed $155 on NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

viaPolymarket14h ago

WHALE MOVE

serferer just placed $35 on NO

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

viaPolymarket17h ago

WHALE MOVE

serferer just placed $56 on YES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

via

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.