Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Why it's moving
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027 at 17%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" is trading at 17% YES with $34.0M in volume. It's moved +1% in the last 24h.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Topic view (consensus across every source for this question) arrives with the entity-resolution service.