0xefce…4e4a

0xefce…4e4aPolymarket

Portfolio value

$21.3K

Trader style

✨ AI

This trader primarily bets on geopolitics, with a strong focus on Iran and US-Iran relations. They are a selective, contrarian bettor, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes on high-odds positions while actively managing their book.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

24 held

Open exposure

$21.3K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$1.2K

+5.8% on cost

In profit

17 / 24

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

YES

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Resolves Jul 29, 2026

Now 76%$2.5K−$475 (−16%)

76%$2.5K−$475−16%NO

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 97%$1.7K+$536 (+45%)

97%$1.7K+$536+45%YES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Resolves Jul 25, 2026

Now 99%$1.7K+$526 (+44%)

99%$1.7K+$526+44%NO

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 92%$1.6K+$417 (+35%)

92%$1.6K+$417+35%YES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 81%$1.6K+$358 (+30%)

81%$1.6K+$358+30%NO

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 59%$1.4K+$150 (+12%)

59%$1.4K+$150+12%NO

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 98%$1.3K+$104 (+9%)

98%$1.3K+$104+9%YES

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 78%$1.3K+$58 (+5%)

78%$1.3K+$58+5%NO

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 77%$1.3K+$58 (+5%)

77%$1.3K+$58+5%YES

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026

Now 100%$1.2K+$49 (+4%)

100%$1.2K+$49+4%NO

Iran leadership change by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 98%$1.2K+$31 (+3%)

98%$1.2K+$31+3%NO

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 85%$906+$188 (+26%)

85%$906+$188+26%NO

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 37%$883−$230 (−21%)

37%$883−$230−21%NO

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 88%$863+$113 (+15%)

88%$863+$113+15%NO

Iran leadership change by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 93%$789+$30 (+4%)

93%$789+$30+4%

Positions 1–15 of 24, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

0xefce…4e4a just placed $6 on NO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

viaPolymarket2h ago

WHALE MOVE

0xefce…4e4a just placed $1 on NO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

viaPolymarket2h ago

WHALE MOVE

0xefce…4e4a just placed $19 on NO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.