Iran leadership change by December 31?
28%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Iran leadership change by December 31 at 28%
On Polymarket, "Iran leadership change by December 31?" is trading at 28% YES with $3.4M in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $3.4M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $23.6K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
