CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
24%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31 at 24%
On Polymarket, "CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?" is trading at 24% YES with $71,851 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $71.9K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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