Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
7%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Major CEX insolvent in 2026 at 7%
On Polymarket, "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?" is trading at 7% YES with $127,759 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $128K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $4
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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