NATO article 5 before 2027?
9%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
NATO article 5 before 2027 at 9%
On Polymarket, "NATO article 5 before 2027?" is trading at 9% YES with $90,728 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $90.7K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
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