U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
5%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30 at 5%
On Polymarket, "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?" is trading at 5% YES with $60,457 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $60.5K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $25
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
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