US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
22%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026 at 22%
On Polymarket, "US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?" is trading at 22% YES with $23,615 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $23.6K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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