U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
10%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? at 10%
On Polymarket, "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? " is trading at 10% YES with $40,359 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $40.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $75
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
