Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
4%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30 at 4%
On Polymarket, "Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?" is trading at 4% YES with $16,872 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $16.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $58
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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