Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $165,039 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $165K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $98
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
