Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
39%chance of Yes
+21%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam at 39%
On Polymarket, "Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?" is trading at 39% YES with $5,917 in volume. It's moved +21% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $5.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $446
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Feb 28, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
