Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
34%chance of Yes
+12%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam at 34%
On Polymarket, "Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?" is trading at 34% YES with $12,902 in volume. It's moved +12% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $12.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $153
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Feb 28, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
