Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
37%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026 at 37%
On Polymarket, "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 37% YES with $19,458 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $19.5K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $15
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
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