Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
38%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027 at 38%
On Polymarket, "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?" is trading at 38% YES with $50,479 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $50.5K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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