Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
6%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027 at 6%
On Polymarket, "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?" is trading at 6% YES with $2,305 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $2.3K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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