Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
4%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026 at 4%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?" is trading at 4% YES with $167,796 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $168K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $3
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
