Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
14%chance of Yes
-8%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026 at 14%
On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?" is trading at 14% YES with $15,783 in volume. It's moved -8% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $15.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.3K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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