Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
21%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 at 21%
On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" is trading at 21% YES with $220,620 in volume. It's moved +1% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $221K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $90
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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