Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
2%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31 at 2%
On Polymarket, "Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?" is trading at 2% YES with $8,118 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $8.1K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $8.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
