Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
0%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31 at 0%
On Polymarket, "Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?" is trading at 0% YES with $851,404 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $851K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2.2K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 0%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 0% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Politics
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
