Keribit is a highly selective, contrarian bettor focused almost exclusively on geopolitics and US political longshots, consistently betting "NO" on unlikely, high-impact events. This trader heavily concentrates their capital on a few high-conviction "NO" positions, primarily on geopolitical stability and the unlikelihood of extreme political shifts.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
keribit just placed $5.0K on NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?keribit just placed $608 on NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
keribit just placed $4.0K on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?keribit just placed $4.9K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?keribit just placed $2.8K on NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?keribit just placed $920 on NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?keribit just placed $935 on NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?keribit just placed $4.9K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?keribit just placed $2.1K on NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?keribit just placed $397 on NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?keribit just placed $297 on NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?keribit just placed $3.0K on NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?keribit just placed $15 on NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?keribit just placed $3.2K on NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?keribit just placed $5.0K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?keribit just placed $10.0K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?keribit just placed $2.0K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?keribit just placed $493 on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?keribit just placed $985 on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?keribit just placed $7.9K on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?keribit just placed $4.9K on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?keribit just placed $2.0K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?keribit just placed $2.0K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?keribit just placed $4.3K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?keribit just placed $784 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?keribit just placed $1.2K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?keribit just placed $1000 on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?keribit just placed $2.0K on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?keribit just placed $5.0K on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?keribit just placed $5.0K on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?keribit just placed $5.0K on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?keribit just placed $9.9K on NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?