Biggest Movers

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Why: The market currently prices a Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June as a clear underdog at 21%, implying roughly 3.9-to-1 odds against it occurring. This is a significant shift, as the 37-point drop over the past 24 hours indicates a sharp decline in collective conviction, moving from a near coin-flip to a longshot. With over $3.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, suggesting a reasonably confident market despite the recent volatility. The lack of a specific resolution date, beyond "in June," leaves some ambiguity but also ample time for further price discovery.

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Iran full airspace closure by July 24?

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?